Overview

We established three models to demonstrate our project in a mathematical way, including growth model, protein model, and expansion model. Our growth model shows trends in bacterial population growth at a certain environmental capacity and consider the effects of temperature-controlled switch-controlled population suicide. As for the protein model, We predict the yield of AA and EPS based on our population growth model and make different model adjustments for their different physiological properties. To predict the proliferation of bacteria in farmland and the range of action of the proteins they synthesize, we visualized microbial expansion based on symbiotic mechanisms and combined previous models. The expansion process of two microorganisms could be easily studied by adjusting parameters and is extendible. These models have adopted data from wet lab and predicted how our project is realizable and would work in the future. 1

Growth Model

Background and Assumptions

Background

The bacteria grow in solution with limited resources, both in the lab and in the real-life soil environment. The cell grows, replicates, ages, and dies in a dynamic way as in the classical logistic model.

However, when we talk about cell growth, one of the less noticeable parts is controlled cell death or called cell suicide. We focus on cell suicide for many different concerns below:

  • One is about the distribution of herbicides.

    AA, as far as we know, cannot be secreted by E. coli automatically. So, we take autolysis as the way to bring the molecule into the environment. We choose a thermo-switch, to interrupt the process of herbs' metabolisms at their maximum.

  • The other concern is biosafety.

    One of the codes of synthetic biology is to prevent the leakage of GM materials. Our modified genome may pollute the genetic background of wild-type E. coli, and by the process of lysis, the modified genome shall be degraded naturally.

  • Also, cell suicide controls the gross amount of herbicide, which reduces the risk of causing great select pressure for mutation against the herbicide.We use negative control on the suicide switch due to safety concerns.

The logistic equation (sometimes called the Verhulst model or logistic growth curve) is a model of population growth first published by Pierre Verhulst (1845, 1847)[1]. The model is continuous in time, but a modification of the continuous equation to a discrete quadratic recurrence equation known as the logistic map is also widely used.

Assumptions

  • The growth of cells follows the classical logistic model, which means:
    • No lagging, the amount of capacity immediately responds
    • Not considering other factors, such as competition, toxic exoenzyme and change of environment
    • Not considering spores, as they do not have metabolism and do not produce our product
  • Cell suicides independently. One cell may use some information molecule to induce others’ suicide (quorum sensing), but as no papers prove it on our circuit, we ignore it.
  • Cell suicide circuit has a stable efficiency. Once activated, cell death will be triggered at a constant rate, which brings a linear relation to us. As no more complex dynamics were detected, we take this hypothesis as acceptable.
  • Lysate will be degraded into nutrition immediately. It corresponds with the former growth model and has been proven acceptable before.

Mathematical Model

First, we establish the model of population dynamics to study the variation of E. coli population density. Here, we use the Logistic equation to build our model.

Parameters Value and Description

Name Value Description Reference
K 6.08OD Environmental capacity [2]
r 1.28h−1 Birth rate of E. coli. [2]
N0 1OD E. coli population initial values [2]

Model building

Let N denotes the population density of E. coli. Wi th the Logistic equation, we obtain:

where r and K are the growth rate and the environmental capacity of E. coli respectively. Whenever the temperature control switch is activated, the bacterial The lysis gene is expressed and causes the cells to die. Usually, when we control the apoptosis of bacteria to 5% of the original, we turn off the temperature control switch. This process can be described using the following equations:

N = 0.05 × N

The bacterial population then resumes proliferation, a process we call a growth cycle.

Model solving

We use MatLab to solve above ODE, then we obtain the result as follows:

Fig(1). Temperature control switch is on
Fig(2). Temperature control switch is off

Result

Fig(1) and Fig(2) show that:

  • When , the population density grows exponentially;
  • When , the environmental resources have a restrictive effect on E. coli;
  • With temperature control switch on, E. coli popularities die to nearly 5% than original.
  • Finally the population density approaches.

Conclusion

Our model does echo our all concerns above. We found that, in our certain lab environment, the growth of bacteria does follow the assumption—traditional logistic model, regardless of the production of EPS and herbicide

After considering cell suicide, our lysis trigger works well at our target temperature and successfully causes cell death, meaning successful distribution, population control and achieving all goals above.

We bring two parts together to describe the full life cycle and compare it with wet-lab data. It describes well in our current data, cells grow in logistic ways, commit suicide under high temperatures, and are degraded into nutrition, proving our model makes sense.

As for further improvement, we may build a natural selection model in the future. Also, we can also take more experiments about the actual effect of cell lysis and the distribution of herbicides.

Reference

  1. [1] DIN M O, DANINO T, PRINDLE A, et al. Synchronized cycles of bacterial lysis for in vivo delivery [J]. Nature, 2016, 536(7614): 81-5.
  2. [2] http://2018.igem.org/Team:Lund/Model/GrowthCurves/Results

Protein Production Model

Background and Assumptions

Background

With cell growth, they produce two critical products for our project.

Herbs are one of the major threats against crops, it competes with crops in sunlight, nutrition, and space, which causes the depression of productivity and further food crisis. However, traditional chemicals damage the biosphere, while they are more able to select mutation against it. Bioherbicide puts an effect on key metabolic processes, meaning less chance to be naturally selected

The bacteria produce aspterric acid (known as AA) with the induction of blue light. AA is a natural, non-toxic, environment-friendly efficient biobased herbicide, produced by a cluster of genes. AA takes effect by depressing DCHD, the key enzyme in the biosynthesis of amino acids.

On the other side, we also produce EPS. The erosion threat grows globally nowadays, rich soil, nutrition, and microbes are flown away by flood or even average rainfall when soil particles do not join together. EPS works as a glue here, joining bacteria, roots, soil animals, soil microbe, and soil itself into an organic structure. A joint structure means a higher effect of our herbicide, less erosion, and higher ecological value.

The schematic of this process is shown below:

Fig(1). Synthesis mechanism of AA
Fig(2). Synthesis mechanism of EPS

Target

Our goal is to simulate the process of gene expression, and the situation of products, which makes us possible to evaluate the actual effect, possible further improvement, and further commercial value.

In an attempt to simplify the model, we take these assumptions:

Assumptions

  • As the cycle of growth, autolysis, and re-growth continues, we simply take one cycle representing the whole process. Therefore, all products shall be distributed into the lysate in our model.
  • Bluelight promoter as well as lac promoter responses without lagging,but with a certain level of leak expressionwhich means a low-level transcription without blue light.
  • The biobrick is relatively independent of background metabolism and expression, such as the energy level, nutrition level, and possible interaction.
  • Upstream and downstream genes in one cluster are abstracted as one gene to simplify modeling.
  • All herbicides in the lysate are in their activated form. We do not find research about the inclusion body of AA molecule, also, AA is not a protein, and cannot be folded wrongly. So our assumption stands.
  • ‘Modeling for herbicide’s blue-light protein promoter’ equals ‘modeling for blue-light protein promoter only, with a theoretical product’ owing to the hardship of directly detecting the herbicide molecular.

Mathematical Model

The basic protein expression model includes promoters, binding sites, protein-coding genes, and terminators, and the main purpose of this model is to investigate the process of protein concentration change over time in the cell. The main biological principle on which modeling is based is the transcription and translation process of the central law.

Parameters Value and Description

Name Value Descriptions Reference
αVVD 5.214 * 10−5M * h−1 Promoter activity for VVD [1]
αEPS 6.840 * 101M * h−1 Promoter activity for EPS [1]
βVVD 0.136mol * L−1 * h−1 Ribosome binding efficiency to VVD mRNA [1]
βEPS 2.160 * 104mol * L−1 * h−1 Ribosome binding efficiency to EPS mRNA [1]
γrVVD 4.667 * 10−5M * h−1 Degradation rate of VVD mRNA [1]
γpVVD 0.79mol * L−1 * h−1 Degradation rate of blue-induced proteins expressed by VVD genes [1]
γrEPS 4.680M * h−1 Degradation rate of EPS mRNA [1]
γpEPS 4.896 * 102mol * L−1 * h−1 Degradation rate of EPS protein [1]

Model building

Based on above parameters, let Nrx denotes the concentration of mRNA transcribed from the x gene, where x can be VVD or EPS gene. Then we use 4 ODEs to describe the whole process and solve them in MatLab.

Noting that the object of the above equation is a single individual in the population, let Sx denotes the total amount of x protein produced by the E. coli population, where x can be VVD or lacO. Note that in the population growth model we get the total population as N, then we obtain:

SVVD = N × NpVVD

SEPS = N × NpEPS

Next, we will make adjustments on the underlying model according to the different characteristics of blue light-inducing protein and EPS protein, so this article will have two branches next to describe our model solving process for each of both.

Model solving

Blue light-inducing protein
Result

Ideally, the herbicide AA gene can transcribe mRNA normally according to the central law, and the mRNA binds normally to ribosomes, according to the above equation (1)(2)(5), we obtain the result shown as Fig(3):

Fig(3). The ideal state of VVD
Fig(4). The actual state of VVD

In fact, because the blue-induced protein as an upstream gene needs to be exposed to blue light to turn on the expression of downstream genes, in the experiment, the curve of the change in the concentration of blue light protein we obtained over time should be shown in Fig(4).

Analysis

From the population growth model, it can be seen that the population density will first grow at a fast rate, then slow down, and eventually stabilize near the environmental capacity, so it is not difficult to intuitively find that the AA protein synthesized by the E. coli population will eventually conform to such a trend, that is, as shown in Fig(3), it will first grow rapidly and then stabilize.

But in fact, in reality, gene expression of the herbicide AA is regulated by blue-light-inducing proteins. In the absence of blue light exposure, the herbicide gene is transcribed mRNA normally, but the mRNA expresses the protein, so there is no herbicide AA synthesis at this time; After blue light exposure, the mRNA of the herbicide AA translates the protein normally. The final result is shown in Fig(4).

EPS protein
Result

The ideal case is similar to VVD case. The EPS gene is normally transfigured to mRNA according to the central law, and the mRNA normally expresses the EPS protein. The results are shown in Fig(5).

Fig(5). The ideal state of EPS
Fig(6). The actual state of EPS

In fact, in the absence of IPTG induction, the repressor protein binds the RNA polymerase that inhibits the EPS gene to the promoter, and the downstream gene is not expressed.In the experiment, the curve of the change in the concentration of blue light protein we obtained over time should be shown in Fig(6).

Analysis

The repressor protein will inhibit the expression of downstream genes by inhibiting RNA polymerase binding to the promoter. IPTG is able to contact the inhibitory effect of repressor proteins on EPS gene expression. Therefore, the amount of EPS protein expression is almost 0,before IPTG is applied; After the IPTG is applied, the EPS protein is expressed normally.

Conclusion

The blue-light induction model works and makes sense, it shows our current facts and assumptions about it. The system expresses under a certain low level without induction and expresses relatively high with blue light induction. Blue-light protein and the promoter control the expression of the product, which reaches a meaningful amount after some time with an induction

The IPTG induction model has been proven to fit well with the other two parts without obvious interaction

However, though our model makes sense, it is more logical work. Due to the time limit, we are not able to detect real products to draw a curve and back our model. If possible, we may take these experiments into further consideration.

Reference

[1] https://2018.igem.org/Team:NUS_Singapore-A/Model

[2] ROMANO E, BAUMSCHLAGER A, AKMERIC E B, et al. Engineering AraC to make it responsive to light instead of arabinose [J]. Nat Chem Biol, 2021, 17(7): 817-27.

[3] YAN Y, LIU Q, ZANG X, et al. Resistance-gene-directed discovery of a natural-product herbicide with a new mode of action [J]. Nature, 2018, 559(7714): 415-8.

Expansion Model

Background and Assumptions

Cellular Automaton (CA)

An intriguing topic in the environment is microbial expansion. However, it is too complicated to study accurate motion because of the complexity of a realistic system. therefore, theoretical models are needed in that area.

The cellular automata model is proposed by Von Neumann in the 1950s to study the phenomenon of cell self-reproduction. It is a modeling method assuming that after setting the initial state, each cell is constantly updated according to certain evolution rules. CA is a system that is discrete in time, space, and state. Its basic elements include cellular, cellular space, cellular neighbor, and evolution rules.

  • Cellular: Cellular is the basic unit of cellular automata. A cell can be one-dimensional or two-dimensional, and its state is determined by a set of states at each discrete time point.
  • Cellular space: Cellular space is the space occupied by a distribution of cells. The appropriate shape can be selected according to the interaction relationship between cells in practical problems. The most common is the grid-type regular arrangement, including triangle, quadrilateral and hexagon.
  • Cellular neighbor: Cellular neighbors are a set of cells which have an effect on the change of cellular state. Generally, in the cellular automata model, the state of a cell is affected by the state of itself and surrounding cells, such as competitive nutrients or mutually beneficial symbiosis. In a numerical simulation, the range of neighbors can be determined by controlling the retrieval radius.
  • Evolution rules: The evolution rules are set according to a practical problem. But generally, the state of the cell at time t + 1 is a function of the state of the cell neighbor at time t sit + 1 = f(sit,sNt)

where

  • t denotes time and is dicrete.
  • sit denotes the state of the cell i at time t.
  • sNt denotes the state of neighbors of the cell i

Assumptions

To build up a CA model, the most important part is to set up evolution rules. Since we are simulating a growing, moving and interacting dynamic system, simplifications are necessary. Dividing the expansion into two phases each time step, we make the following principal assumptions:

Growth phase
  • Within each cell, the proliferation of E. coli populations follows the previously proposed model of population growth.
  • Within each cell, the VVD protein synthesized by the E. coli versus the EPS protein obeys the previously proposed protein synthesis model
Migration phase
  • The migration of E. coli populations is spontaneous and unaffected by external interference.
  • The migration direction of E. coli populations is random.
  • Each grid has the same amount of E. coli environmental capacity.

Mathematical Model

This part of the model consists of two parts:

  • For a single cell:
    • E. coli population growth follows previously established population growth models
    • The expression of the VVD gene and EPS gene follows the previously constructed protein expression model
  • For cell between cell:
    • E. coli migrate in random directions according to a certain probability

The former has been fully discussed in the previous chapters, and now we will focus on the aspects of E. coli population migration

Parameters Value and Description

Name Value Descriptions Reference
PN 0.02 The probability of E. coli migration [1]

Migration model building

initialize all attributes

Set the initial number of E. coli populations, mRNA and protein in central cell.

Calculate Gradient

We adopt Fick’s first law, a classic equation to describe particles’ diffusion in solution. Under the assumption that the diffusion flux (J) goes from regions of high solute concentration to regions of low concentration, with a magnitude proportional to concentration (ϕ) gradient, we can write: J = − Pϕ
In 2-D space, that is:

where P is the diffusion coefficient, an intrinsic property of solute and the medium. A large D value means higher diffusivity. is a 2D vector that can be decomposed into several directions. Therefore, we can calculate J in any direction separately.
In this discrete model, we may use $\frac{\triangle\phi}{\triangle x}$ rather than the first derivative. ϕ is the difference of the number (of cells, EPS or nutrients) between neighbors. Under our unit system, x = 1 . Thus, we can represent it as:
where d denotes the direction for migration and (u,v) denotes the change of direction:

  • d = 1 denote left, which means (u,v) = (−1,0)
  • d = 2 denote up, which means (u,v) = (0,1)
  • d = 3 denote right, which means (u,v) = (1,0)
  • d = 4 denote down, which means (u,v) = (0,−1)

initialize all attributes

Calculate Number of Migration

Based on the above theory, we present the solution of a mathematical model of E. coli migration on a plate. For each passing minute, for each grid of E. coli populations, we calculate the total number of individuals whose migration will occur and simulate the process of their random movement by generating random numbers. The change in the number of individuals in the population between the meshes during migration satisfies the following equation:

Then the popularity model and the protein expression model will be used to get the next time step data. Finally, we get the results of th model of the spread of cells and proteins on a plate

Result

E. coli expansion process

The following is the actual operation effect of the cellular automata. As shown in Fig(1) and Fig(2), the E. coli start from the initial point and spread around in a random direction. Because E. coli populations within each grid follow the population growth model, the overall trend of E. coli is rapid proliferation and then stabilization.

Fig(1). The E. coli expand in the center around the plate
Fig(2).E. coli expand in four points around the plate

Protein expansion process

For the protein synthesized by E. coli (because the VVD protein is close to the expression process characteristics of the EPS protein, the VVD protein is used as an example), because there is a delay in E. coli synthesis of proteins, the spread rate of the protein on the plate is lower than that of E. coli, which is common.

Fig(3). The VVD protein expand in the center around the plate
Fig(4). The VVD protein expand in four points around the plate

Conclusion

With the above expansion model, we can draw the following conclusions:

  • Ideally, engineered bacteria can spread throughout the farmland without uncovered areas.
  • The proteins synthesized by engineered bacteria can spread to all corners of the farmland.
  • As long as there is enough time, the AA concentration of the herbicide will eventually reach the upper limit of the experimental determination, that is, the effect of adequate weeding will be achieved.

Reference

[1] https://2020.igem.org/

[2] SEMINARA A, ANGELINI T E, WILKING J N, et al. Osmotic spreading of Bacillus subtilis biofilms driven by an extracellular matrix [J]. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2012, 109(4): 1116-21.

[3] A. Nishiyama, T. Tokihiro, M. Badoual, B. Grammaticos, et al. Modelling the morphology of migrating bacterial colonies [J]. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2010, 239(16), 1573-1580